Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001804 0.001884 0.001967 0.002060 0.002162 0.002271 0.002396
2025-06-01 0.001651 0.001762 0.001881 0.002022 0.002184 0.002366 0.002591
2025-06-08 0.001579 0.001714 0.001866 0.002051 0.002274 0.002539 0.002887
2025-06-15 0.001517 0.001669 0.001844 0.002064 0.002341 0.002687 0.003169
2025-06-22 0.001448 0.001609 0.001798 0.002043 0.002359 0.002770 0.003373
2025-06-29 0.001385 0.001551 0.001749 0.002011 0.002358 0.002824 0.003539
2025-07-06 0.001340 0.001511 0.001718 0.001997 0.002377 0.002904 0.003753
2025-07-13 0.001272 0.001440 0.001646 0.001924 0.002309 0.002852 0.003751
2025-07-20 0.001240 0.001412 0.001624 0.001917 0.002330 0.002929 0.003969
2025-07-27 0.001219 0.001397 0.001619 0.001930 0.002379 0.003053 0.004286
2025-08-03 0.001190 0.001369 0.001595 0.001916 0.002387 0.003113 0.004498
2025-08-10 0.001174 0.001358 0.001593 0.001931 0.002439 0.003248 0.004884
2025-08-17 0.001149 0.001335 0.001574 0.001924 0.002458 0.003332 0.005192
2025-08-24 0.001120 0.001305 0.001546 0.001901 0.002450 0.003370 0.005414
2025-08-31 0.001112 0.001303 0.001554 0.001931 0.002529 0.003572 0.006085
2025-09-07 0.001099 0.001293 0.001552 0.001945 0.002582 0.003735 0.006732
2025-09-14 0.001076 0.001270 0.001529 0.001926 0.002579 0.003787 0.007093
2025-09-21 0.001051 0.001243 0.001500 0.001898 0.002558 0.003799 0.007337
2025-09-28 0.001032 0.001224 0.001483 0.001886 0.002563 0.003867 0.007798
2025-10-05 0.000998 0.001183 0.001433 0.001820 0.002471 0.003720 0.007454
2025-10-12 0.000984 0.001169 0.001420 0.001814 0.002483 0.003798 0.007968
2025-10-19 0.000975 0.001163 0.001419 0.001825 0.002528 0.003954 0.008893
2025-10-26 0.000960 0.001147 0.001404 0.001813 0.002528 0.004008 0.009434